Poll sees opposition garnering more votes, AKP-MHP vote share falling in a new election

The ruling AKP and its ally MHP have lost respectively 12.56 percentage and 2.3 percentage points of support since the last parliamentary election and would receive respectively 30 percent and 8.9 percent of the votes if Turkey headed to the ballot boxes for another election today, a pollster found.

Duvar English

Ifthe parliamentary election were held today in Turkey, the oppositionparties would have each obtained a vote share higher than what theyreceived in 2018, whereas the ruling Justice and Development Party(AKP) and its alliance partner Nationalist Movement Party (MHP) wouldhave performed worse, according to a pollster.

Accordingto a survey conducted by the polling agency Polimetre, the AKP sees a12.56 percentage of loss in the vote share, whereas the MHP a 2.3percentage of loss, compared to the 2018 results.

Inthe 2018 parliamentary election, the AKP secured 42.56 percent of thevotes. The ruling party was followed by the People's Republican Party(CHP) with 22.65 percent, the Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) with11.70 percent, the MHP with 11.10 percent and İYİ (Good) Party with9.96 percent.

Accordingto the survey, if a new election were to be held today, the AKP wouldhave received 30 percent of the votes, whereas the MHP 8.9 percentof the votes.

Thesurvey put support at 25.3 percent for the main opposition CHP, 11.1percent for the İYİ Party and 12.8 percent for the pro-Kurdish HDP.

The survey showed the newly founded Future Party -- founded by Ahmet Davutoğlu, former prime minister and a longtime ally of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan -- attracting 10 percent of the votes.

The pollster's analysis shows that the Future Party poses a challenge to the AKP and MHP, as it lures 7.3 percent and 1 percent of the votes respectively from the AKP and MHP electorate. Also 0.6 percent of voters shifted from the CHP to the Future Party, whereas this figure is 0.4 percent and 0.3 percent respectively for İYİ Party and HDP.

Davutoğlu’sparty has been widely discussed in terms of the potential effect itcould have on Turkey’s parliamentary election in 2023.

Another party is expected to be established by former deputy prime minister Ali Babacan, another former Erdoğan ally.

Ifeither party is successful in drawing away conservative voters whohave become disenchanted with Erdoğan and the AKP, they could have amajor impact in the Turkish political sphere.