France’s president warned fellow European countries on Nov. 7 that NATO was dying, citing a lack of coordination and U.S. unpredictability under President Donald Trump, comments quickly rejected as “drastic” by the German chancellor.
In an interview with British weekly The Economist, Emmanuel Macron expressed doubt about U.S.-led NATO’s security maxim that an attack on one ally is an attack on all, which has underpinned transatlantic ties since the alliance’s 1949 foundation.
“What we are currently experiencing is the brain death of NATO,” Macron said.
Asked whether he still believed in the Article Five collective defense guarantee of NATO’s treaty, Macron answered: “I don’t know,” although he said the United States would remain an ally.
Macron has said there is a lack of strategic coordination between European allies on the one hand and the United States and Turkey, with NATO’s second largest military, on the other.
While France has traditionally had an ambivalent role in NATO, taking no part in its strategic military planning from 1966 to 2009 despite being a founding member, Macron’s comments – a month before NATO’s Dec. 4 summit in London – were unexpected.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said he was overreacting.
“The French president has found rather drastic words to express his views. This is not how I see the state of cooperation at NATO,” she told a news conference in Berlin alongside NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg.
Stoltenberg told Reuters that NATO had overcome differences in the past, citing the 1956 Suez Crisis and the 2003 Iraq War.
The secretary-general and many allies want to project an image of unity at the summit at a time of rising Chinese military might and what NATO leaders see as Russian attempts to undermine Western democracies through cyber attacks, disinformation campaigns and covert operations.
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, in Leipzig, Germany, ahead of the 30th anniversary on Nov. 9 of the fall of the Berlin Wall that is seen by many as NATO’s crowning achievement through its four-decade-long role blunting Soviet expansionism, said the alliance was perhaps one of the most important “in all recorded history.”
In Russia, Macron’s comments were hailed as an accurate depiction of NATO’s state.
“Golden words … an exact definition of the current state of NATO,” Maria Zakharova, the spokeswoman of Russia’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, wrote on her Facebook page.
Trump ‘turning back on us’
NATO was shaken by Trump’s portrayal of it as being in crisis at the last summit in Brussels in July, and its image of unity took a hit when Turkey defied its allies to launch a military incursion into Syria on Oct. 9.
Macron had earlier decried NATO’s inability to react to what he called Turkey’s “crazy” offensive and said it was time Europe stopped acting like a junior ally when it came to the Middle East.
In his interview, he also said the United States was showing signs of “turning its back on us,” as demonstrated by Trump’s sudden decision last month to pull troops out of northeastern Syria without consulting the allies.
Once seen by some as a Cold War relic until Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea, the 29-member alliance is confronting militant attacks in Europe and seeking to defend against the threat of ballistic missiles from Iran to North Korea.
Macron lauded nascent European defense integration initiatives independent of the United States. His so-called European Intervention Initiative has so far brought together nine militaries ready to react to crises near Europe’s borders without NATO or the United States.
The European Union also recently launched its own multibillion-euro defense plans to develop and deploy military assets together after years of spending cuts that have left European militaries without vital capabilities and reliant on Washington.
The EU can’t defend Europe, Stoltenberg says
“The European Union cannot defend Europe,” Stoltenberg said in a speech in Berlin.
With its military bases in Europe and nuclear warheads stored in five NATO countries, the United States remains the ultimate protector of European democracies against an increasingly assertive post-Soviet Russia.
Since taking office in 2017, Trump has accused European NATO allies of not shouldering their fair share of the cost of defending Europe. He has demanded they double NATO’s defense spending goal of 2% of economic output, set in 2014.
They retorted that security was not just about spending targets, but have all since raised their defense outlays, although some remain short of the 2% objective.
In a change of policy, German Defence Minister Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer said on Thursday that Berlin would spend 2% of its economic output on defence by 2031.